COVID-19 Bulletin: September 17
Good Afternoon,
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Supply
- With Hurricane Sally largely bypassing Gulf Coast refineries, crude prices eased in early trading today, with the WTI at $39.92/bbl and Brent at $42.05/bbl.
- The natural gas price was lower at $2.20/MMBtu.
- A drop in demand for oil from emerging market countries, which offer the greatest growth potential, is cause for concern for oil producers.
- Leading coal producer Murray Energy emerged from bankruptcy as American Consolidated Natural Resources.
- Despite government policy support, the coal industry continues to shrink, with renewable energy outpacing coal for energy production last year for the first time since 1880.
- BHP, the world’s largest mining company, has frozen salaries of its executive team as the pandemic has closed mines and required costly safety measures.
- Austrian packaging company and recycler Alpla Group is building a 15,000-ton post-consumer HDPE recycling facility in Toluca, Mexico, as it expands its global footprint.
Supply Chain
- The U.S. Post Office closed post offices in California, Oregon and Washington due to wildfires and hazardous air conditions.
- New York City is under a haze of smoke from still-raging fires in Western states. Smoke from the wildfires has been detected as far away as Europe.
- The apple crop in Washington, which produces 65% of the nation’s apple supply, will be down 10% due to fire and wind damage.
- Hurricane Sally weakened to a tropical storm as it inundated Gulf coastal areas with torrential rain and flooding.
- Tropical storm Teddy strengthened to a Category 2 hurricane in the open Atlantic and is expected to grow into a major hurricane.
- East Coast ports are gaining market share over West Coast ports due to growing trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
- The container shipping industry is showing surprising resilience, with many competitors poised to emerge from the pandemic disruption stronger than before.
- Although material supplies are tight due to force majeures, we’re seeing many warehouses at storage capacity with operators opening satellite/overflow warehouses.
- We’re seeing railcar capacity challenges in the Charlotte, North Carolina, area.
- Trucking capacity remains tight throughout the U.S., and spot pricing remains elevated.
- Clients are advised to provide expanded lead times on orders to help ensure delivery dates will be met.
Markets
- COVID-19 infections in the U.S. eased to 38,410 yesterday with 1,014 reported fatalities.
- COVID-19 infection rates are trending higher in 31 states this week.
- There were more than 860,000 new jobless claims last week, down slightly from the prior week. Another 659,000 contractors and gig workers filed claims under the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program.
- The head of the CDC said there may be an effective vaccine by year end, but it would not be available for broad distribution until the third quarter of 2021.
- Operation Warp Speed officials announced plans for the rapid distribution of an eventual vaccine, which will be free to all Americans.
- The Federal Reserve expressed greater optimism about the economy after its monthly meeting yesterday, raising its outlook for GDP contraction this year from 6.5% to 3.7% and projecting that unemployment will fall to 5.5% by the end of 2021.
- The central bank plans to keep interest rates near zero for the next three years.
- Half of U.S. manufacturers say they’re having trouble staffing the factory floor due to childcare issues impacting employees, threatening the manufacturing recovery.
- While JPMorgan is pressing employees to return to offices, Deutsche Bank extended work-from-home protocols for U.S. workers until July 2021.
- New York City’s mayor imposed a week of furloughs on himself and his staff to help address budget deficits caused by the pandemic.
- Southwest Airlines will continue leaving middle seats open through November as it pares its flight schedule for the third quarter, when it expects to lose $17 million a day.
- Ford said its new electric F-150 truck, due to be built in 2022, will be more powerful and have half the cost of ownership of the gasoline-powered version.
- GM is developing a wireless battery that conveys energy through antennae and could be used across a variety of electric vehicles without costly connections and wiring harnesses.
- Delayed movie releases are creating havoc and financial pain for toy companies.
- Fourteen Big Ten colleges voted unanimously to resume playing football on October 23 after canceling the fall season in August, putting pressure on the PAC 12 conference to follow suit.
- The Cleveland Clinic announced the creation of the Center for Global and Emerging Pathogens Research, which is dedicated to the research of future pathogens and their treatment and cure.
- The move to remote work has led to increases in both the frequency and damage of cybersecurity attacks, with the severity of ransomware invasions up 47% during the pandemic.
International
- The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development raised its outlook for the global economy from a 5% contraction this year to a 4.5% contraction and projected 5% growth in 2021.
![OECD Sees Global GDP Return to Pre-Pandemic Level in 2021](https://www.mholland.com/media/Global-GDP-Return-Expected-in-2021.jpg)
- In a study of the recovery rates of 75 economies, Latin American countries occupied 18 of the 25 bottom rankings.
- Global COVID-19 cases are approaching 30 million.
![Pandemic Far From Over as Daily Case Toll Plateaus](https://www.mholland.com/media/Pandemic-Far-From-Over-Daily-Case-Toll-Plateaus.jpg)
- India recorded nearly 98,000 COVID-19 infections yesterday, a daily record while total cases in India surpassed 5 million, just 11 days after hitting the 4 million mark.
- In Italy, Spain and the U.K., COVID-19 deaths per capita are now running higher than in the U.S. as Europe braces for a fall resurgence of the virus.
- Eastern European countries, early stars in fighting the pandemic, relaxed restrictions too soon and are now facing a resurgence of COVID-19.
- European auto sales tumbled 18.9% in August, dashing hopes for a steady industry recovery that appeared to be underway.
- German automotive supplier Mahle is cutting 7,600 jobs due to the downturn caused by the pandemic.
- South Africa is reopening borders and lifting pandemic restrictions after gaining control of its COVID-19 epidemic.
- The Bank of England held interest rates at a record low 0.1% yesterday and said it may consider negative rates in the future.
- Customs and Border Protection reopened its Global Entry offices on September 8 after a six-month hiatus, but appointments are hard to schedule because of a huge backlog of applications.
- Europe’s Circular Economy for Flexible Packaging consortium is recommending that packaging design shift from multilayer structures to mono-materials to ease recyclability.
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Thank you,
M. Holland Company
We will provide further COVID-19 bulletins as circumstances dictate. For all COVID-19 updates and notices, please refer to the M. Holland website.