MH Daily Bulletin: November 16
News relevant to the plastics industry:
At M. Holland
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Supply
- Oil rose over 1% Tuesday after positive U.S. inflation data suggested oil demand could rise.
- In mid-morning trading today, WTI futures were down 2.1 % at $85.12/bbl, Brent was down 1.6% at $92.38/bbl, and U.S. natural gas was down 3.2% at $5.84/MMBtu.
- U.S. crude stocks fell by 5.835 million barrels last week, according to the American Petroleum Institute. Government data is due today. Globally, oil inventories are at their lowest level since 2004.
- Car travel is projected to be up 20% this Thanksgiving weekend with gas prices at $3.68 a gallon, the highest on record for the holiday.
- The spread between diesel fuel and gasoline and crude is at the highest on record, with diesel up 50% this year and gasoline up 14%.
- Global diesel demand will fall slightly next year due to stubbornly high inflation, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).
- Freeport LNG will likely cancel November and December shipments as repairs continue on its fire-damaged export facility in Texas. European gas futures spiked on the news:
- Canada’s TC Energy says poor weather forced it to curtail unspecified volumes from its 622,000-bpd Keystone oil pipeline out of Alberta.
- South African coal exports, already set to slide 14% this year, will decline further after a train derailed on a key export route.
- More oil news related to the war in Europe:
- Piped oil supply to parts of Eastern and Central Europe has been suspended due to Russian shelling near the border of Poland.
- Germany finished building its first floating LNG terminal at the North Sea port of Wilhelmshaven, with plans to construct at least four more.
- Europe will need to replace 1 million bpd of crude once its ban on Russian imports takes effect Dec. 5.
- Germany is delaying a decision to impose price brakes on household gas and electricity.
- Russia delivered its first shipment of crude to the UAE as it scrambles to find new buyers outside Europe.
- Mozambique shipped its first load of LNG to Europe.
- Moscow allowed Japan to keep its stake in the massive Sakhalin-1 oil and gas project in Russia’s Far East.
- Ukraine’s energy situation is “critical” after weeks of Russian attacks on the nation’s infrastructure, authorities say.
- Europe plans to tighten its emissions target under the Paris climate accord within the next year.
- Japan is expanding its public auctions for offshore wind projects slated for December.
- Inpex, Japan’s biggest oil and gas explorer, announced plans to produce carbon-neutral “blue hydrogen” starting in 2025.
- Most localities that pledge to reach net-zero emissions have little to no plans to track and report progress, according to new research.
- Shell subsidiary Chemical Appalachia fired up a new polyethylene plant in Pennsylvania with 1.6 million tonnes of annual production capacity.
Supply Chain
- The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the nation’s largest business lobby, jumped behind calls for Congress to help negotiate a stalled deal between union workers and freight railroads.
- Spanish truckers suspended their strike Tuesday, just one day after launching the indefinite labor action, blaming harassment from authorities.
- South Africans will see regular power outages for the next year as state utility Eskom struggles to repair infrastructure.
- Port of Los Angeles volumes fell to their lowest since 2009 last month as shippers sent cargo elsewhere to avoid feared disruptions from West Coast labor talks.
- The Cass Freight Index for expenditures hit 4.399 in October, up 11.1% year-over-year for the smallest annual gain since 2020.
- Burrell Aviation will invest $110 million to build 65 acres of air-cargo operations at Colorado Springs Airport.
- Greek shipowners are rapidly stepping up their orders for new vessels.
- Contract logistics firm GXO Logistics has doubled its use of automation in the past year.
- Cindy Sanborn, the first woman to serve as COO of a major U.S. railroad, is stepping down from her post at Norfolk Southern.
- Apple plans to source computer chips from a new plant in Arizona by 2024, a major step toward cutting reliance on Asian production.
- Amazon’s announced layoffs of some 10,000 people will extend beyond its troubled smart speaker unit and include e-commerce and logistics operations, a surprise during the peak shipping season.
- China controls more than 80% of the global supply chain for solar energy, limiting capacity expansions in other countries, notably the U.S.
- In the latest news from the auto industry:
- Battery recycler Redwood Materials entered a multi-billion-dollar agreement to supply Panasonic’s new Kansas plant in 2025.
- Mexico’s administration is calling for U.S. and Canadian firms to build the country’s first commercial lithium production.
- China is verging on capturing 60% of global electric vehicle sales this year.
- Tesla cut waiting times for several car models after inventories rose sharply in October.
- GM plans to add more deals on top of the 20 it has already formed to boost its North American battery supply chain.
- Ford leadership says reshoring supply chains to the U.S. will help preserve jobs as the automaker switches to less labor-intensive production of electric vehicles.
- Daimler Truck says the truck manufacturing supply chain remains “broken” despite easing chip shortages.
- Electric vehicle stations could one day require as much power as a small town in order to accommodate both passenger and freight vehicles.
- Electric vehicles are among the least reliable in the U.S., according to the latest Consumer Reports survey.
- Japanese trading house Mitsui & Co. will launch a logistics business using self-driving trucks as early as 2026.
- Workers at the world’s largest copper mine in Chile will temporarily strike next week to press labor demands.
- Textile fiber suppliers Invista and Lenzing will start manufacturing carbon-neutral materials in the U.S. and ship the goods by rail to reduce emissions.
- British supermarkets have started rationing eggs after the nation’s worst-ever outbreak of bird flu.
- Ukraine’s wheat plantings are down 40% from last year’s record high, signaling tighter global supply and higher food prices.
Domestic Markets
- The U.S. reported 40,279 new COVID-19 infections and 387 virus fatalities Tuesday.
- U.S. stocks jumped Tuesday on hopes of more stabilized relations between the U.S. and China after their leaders met in Indonesia.
- Bloomberg economists upped projections for a U.S. recession within the next year to 65%.
- Retail sales rose a higher than expected 1.3% in October.
- After the U.S. producer-price index rose a smaller-than-expected 0.2% in October, a further sign of easing inflation, some analysts expect the Federal Reserve to slow its aggressive pace of interest-rate hikes:
- U.S. households added $351 billion in debt last quarter, the sharpest gain in 15 years.
- An index of New York state manufacturing activity rebounded sharply from -9.1 in October to 4.5 this month:
- Taxi regulators in New York City approved a 23% increase in fares, the first hike since 2012, and also lifted rates for Uber and Lyft drivers.
- Most Americans need at least a six figure income to afford the typical home, up 46% from a year ago, according to Redfin.
- U.S. home prices could tumble as much as 20% in the wake of surging mortgage rates, according to the Dallas Fed.
- Downsizing U.S. tech firms are flooding business districts with office space across the country.
- Thanksgiving travel activity will near the busiest in two decades despite remaining about 2% below 2019 levels, according to projections.
- Walmart lifted its outlook as resilient demand for essentials led to an 8.2% rise in quarterly sales. The retailer also announced a $20 billion share buyback plan.
- Target’s third quarter sales rose, but earnings tumbled 52%, prompting the company to lower its outlook and announce up to $3 billion in cost cutting. Target’s stock sank by double digits in premarket trading on the news.
- Amazon is stepping further into the healthcare market with a new referral service that aims to link patients with virtual providers.
- The market for cyber insurance is starting to stabilize after a surge in ransomware attacks drove up premiums in recent years.
- The U.S. SEC assessed $6.4 billion in fines and ill-gotten gains in fiscal year 2022, a record.
- Airlines are asking U.S. regulators for more time to retrofit planes to handle 5G network interference.
International Markets
- China posted 17,772 new COVID-19 infections Tuesday as fears spread over widening lockdowns in many of its largest cities. Despite the surge, authorities also began easing curbs for domestic group tourism.
- Tokyo saw 11,196 new COVID-19 infections Tuesday, the first tally above 10,000 in two months.
- Australian authorities are dissuading people from getting a fifth COVID-19 vaccine shot despite a new wave of virus infections building.
- The annual inflation rate in the U.K. hit 11.1% in October, highest since 1981.
- Canadian factory sales were essentially flat from August to September, the latest data shows.
- Exports of German machinery fell by 2.8% in the first nine months of 2022 as COVID-19 curbs in China weighed on business there.
- Colombia’s economy grew 7% in the third quarter from a year ago, topping market expectations.
- Canadian home sales rose 1.3% from September to October, the first monthly gain since February.
- Foreign direct investment in Saudi Arabia plunged 85% year over year in the latest quarter.
- Luxury fashion brand Estee Lauder will buy rival Tom Ford for $2.8 billion.
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